Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

Harris has been a vocal advocate for abortion rights even before she began her campaign. In March, she became the first vice ...

Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.

Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages.